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Home»News»2026 Sony Open picks, odds, projected leaderboard: Surprising predictions by model that’s called 16 majors
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2026 Sony Open picks, odds, projected leaderboard: Surprising predictions by model that’s called 16 majors

January 15, 2026Updated:January 15, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
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The 2026 PGA Tour schedule gets underway at the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii on Thursday, Jan. 15. The season opener at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu comes a week later than normal after The Sentry was cancelled this year due to course concerns. That means there will be just one event on the Hawaii Swing this year, and some top players decided not to make the trip. Big names like Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, J.J. Spaun and Jordan Spieth, however, are among the golfers in the Sony Open field as the first tee times in Round 1 come at 12:10 p.m. ET.

The latest 2026 Sony Open odds from DraftKings Sportsbook list Russell Henley as the +1100 favorite. Matsuyama and Ben Griffin are at +1700, followed by Spaun at +1800. Morikawa joins Si Woo Kim and Robert MacIntyre at +2000, with Spieth a +4500 longshot. Before locking in any 2026 Sony Open picks, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. 

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New users can also target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins:

Now that the 2026 Sony Open field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. 

2026 Sony Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2026 Sony Open: Henley, the betting favorite who begins at 12:54 p.m. ET in Round 1 on Thursday, stumbles and barely finishes inside the top 5. He’s a golfer to avoid this week. The 2013 Sony Open champion hasn’t been able to follow up on that success at this event with regularity. Since that time, he’s missed the cut twice and has three other finishes outside the top 30. Last year, he finished T10. He’s played just once since last year’s playoffs and finished 19th at the Procore Championship, so the model doesn’t love his value as a favorite this year. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: Ben Griffin, who is +1700, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. “One of the best values on the board,” McClure told SportsLine. “My number is meaningfully shorter than the market, which is exactly what you want when laying a shorter outright.” See who else to pick here. 

New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get $300 in bonus bets at FanDuel if your $5 bet wins:

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How to make 2026 Sony Open picks

The model’s best bets also include five longshots of +3500 or higher in outright bets, including an enormous +40000 underdog. You can only see the model’s picks here. 

Who will win the 2026 Sony Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Sony Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 Sony Open odds, favorites 

Get full 2026 Sony Open picks, best bets and predictions here. 
(odds subject to change)

Russell Henley +1100
Ben Griffin +1700
Hideki Matsuyama +1700
J.J. Spaun +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Robert MacIntyre +2000
Si Woo Kim +2000
Keegan Bradley +2200
Corey Conners +2500
Maverick McNealy +2800
Harry Hall +3500
Aaron Rai +3500
Kurt Kitayama +4000
Chris Kirk +4000
Nick Taylor +4000
Keith Mitchell +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Jordan Spieth +4500
Rico Hoey +4500
Chris Gotterup +4500
Kevin Yu +5000
Nicolas Echavarria +5000
John Keefer +5000
Denny McCarthy +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Kristoffer Reitan +5500
Taylor Pendrith +5500
Jake Knapp +5500
Eric Cole +5500
Mac Meissner +6000
Matt McCarty +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Michael Brennan +6500
Gary Woodland +7000
Neal Shipley +7000
Emiliano Grillo +7500
Billy Horschel +7500
Sam Stevens +7500
Pierceson Coody +7500
Michael Kim +7500
Webb Simpson +8000
Ryan Gerard +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Vince Whaley +9000
Sahith Theegala +9000
Jordan Smith +9000
Haotong Li +9000
Tom Kim +10000
Tony Finau +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Matti Schmid +10000
John Parry +10000
Chandler Blanchet +10000
Lee Hodges +10000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Bud Cauley +11000
Max McGreevy +11000
Luke Clanton +11000
Doug Ghim +12000
William Mouw +12000
Jacob Bridgeman +12000
Mark Hubbard +13000
Austin Eckroat +13000
Ricky Castillo +14000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart +14000
Zac Blair +16000
Daniel Brown +16000
Steven Fisk +16000
David Ford +17000
Beau Hossler +17000
Adam Svensson +17000
Keita Nakajima +18000
Takumi Kanaya +18000
S.H. Kim +18000
Christo Lamprecht +18000
Chad Ramey +19000
Kevin Roy +20000
Dylan Wu +20000
Erik Van Rooyen +20000
Ryo Hisatsune +20000
Nick Dunlap +20000
Adrien Saddier +20000
Cam Davis +25000
Alejandro Tosti +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Matthieu Pavon +25000
Brian Campbell +25000
Zecheng Dou +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Chandler Phillips +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Tom Hoge +30000
Kensei Hirata +30000
Gordon Sargent +30000
Seung Taek Lee +35000
Emilio Gonzalez +35000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +40000
Kota Kaneko +40000
Hank Lebioda +40000
Brice Garnett +40000
Davis Chatfield +45000
Ren Yonezawa +50000
Pontus Nyholm +50000
John Vanderlaan +50000
Jeffrey Kang +50000
Yuta Sugiura +60000
Joe Highsmith +60000
Zach Bauchou +70000
Kazuki Higa +70000
Marcelo Rozo +70000
Danny Walker +70000
Vijay Singh +80000
Peter Malnati +80000
Rafael Campos +100000
A.J. Ewart +100000

See also  Masters Tournament Set For Small Field

Article Originally Posted Here.

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