Hideki Matsuyama became the first Japanese golfer in history to win the Masters when he donned the green jacket in 2021, adding another nation to the list of Masters champions. Japan became the 12th country to produce a Masters winner, but the event has been dominated by American golfers. Entering the 2024 Masters, 63 of 87 editions have been won by Americans (72.4%). Matsuyama will try to become the sixth non-American golfer to win multiple Masters championships when he tees off in the 2024 Masters, which begins on Thursday, April 11 at Augusta National Golf Club.
Matsuyama is a 46-1 longshot in the 2024 Masters odds. Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are the co-favorites at 15-2 odds in the Masters odds 2024, followed by Jon Rahm (19-2). Scheffler was the last American to win the Masters, doing so in 2022, so should you include the world’s No. 1 golfer in your 2024 Masters predictions? Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the 2024 Masters golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler’s 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. After a stretch of making five straight top-10s at the Masters from 2014 to 2018, McIlroy has been inconsistent. Over his last five appearances, he has more finishes outside the top 20 (three) than inside, and he’s missed two cuts, including last year. He’s failed to break par in seven of his last 12 rounds at Augusta National.
McIlroy’s lack of precision off the tee has been a major reason for his struggles at not just the Masters, but at all majors recently, as it’s been a decade since his last major championship victory. He’s ranked outside the top 100 in driving accuracy percentage the last seven seasons, with his rank of 171st last year being his worst. His inaccuracy with an iron isn’t making up for his driving struggles, as he ranked just 79th in greens in regulation a year ago. Given the current flaws in McIlroy’s game, but having the shortest 2024 Masters odds, he’s a name to steer clear of with your 2024 Masters picks, according to the model.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 24-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas, a 15-time PGA Tour winner, is a two-time major winner but is seeking his first green jacket.
Thomas placed fourth in 2021 at Augusta National and eighth in 2022. Thomas missed the cut last year, but much of 2023 was a struggle for him. However, Thomas has returned to one of the best golfers on the PGA Tour this season with two top-six finishes and four top-12 results over his first five 2024 PGA Tour tournaments. Thomas is second in birdie average and fifth in scoring average. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Masters, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Masters 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Masters leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including last year’s Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Masters odds, field
Full set of Masters picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Jon Rahm +950
Viktor Hovland +1500
Brooks Koepka +1900
Jordan Spieth +1900
Cameron Smith +2100
Patrick Cantlay +2100
Ludvig Aberg +2100
Justin Thomas +2400
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2800
Bryson DeChambeau +3200
Tony Finau +3600
Cameron Young +3600
Will Zalatoris +3600
Dustin Johnson +3600
Max Homa +4100
Sung-Jae Im +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4600
Min Woo Lee +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Jason Day +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +5500
Tommy Fleetwood +5500
Patrick Reed +5500
Sam Burns +7000
Joaquin Niemann +7000
Brian Harman +7500
Corey Conners +7500
Justin Rose +7500
Tiger Woods +7500
Louis Oosthuizen +9000
Russell Henley +9000
Talor Gooch +9000
Nick Dunlap +9000
Phil Mickelson +13000
Gary Woodland +13000
Adam Scott +13000
Seamus Power +15000
Abraham Ancer +15000
Chris Kirk +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Si Woo Kim +16000
Tom Hoge +18000
Sergio Garcia +18000
Mito Pereira +18000
Keegan Bradley +18000
Charl Schwartzel +19000
Cameron Champ +19000
Kurt Kitayama +19000
J.T. Poston +19000