The U.S. Open is just two weeks away, so many of the top golfers are using this week’s tournament as a tune-up event. The 2023 Memorial Tournament begins on Thursday at Muirfield Village Golf Club, with Jack Nicklaus being the tournament founder and course designer. This is an elevated event as the purse jumped from $12 million last year to $20 million this year. The winner of the Memorial Tournament 2023 will receive $3.6 million.
Caesars Sportsbook has World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler as the 6-1 favorite, while Jon Rahm, who has four wins this season, is at 7-1. The latest 2023 Memorial Tournament odds list Patrick Cantlay at 10-1, with Rory McIlroy (12-1) and Xander Schauffele also among the top contenders. Before locking in your 2023 Memorial Tournament picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $8,700 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 Memorial Tournament field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 Memorial Tournament predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Memorial Tournament 2023: Rory McIlroy, who ranks third in the world and is one of the favorites at 12-1, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top 10. He skipped the Charles Schwab Challenge following his seventh-place finish at the PGA Championship. McIlroy was outside the top 45 at the Wells Fargo Championship at the beginning of May after missing the cut at the Masters Tournament.
He also missed the cut at The Players Championship and did not contend at the WM Phoenix Open or the Genesis Invitational earlier in the season. McIlroy has not been meeting expectations throughout the campaign, but he continues to be priced as one of the favorites on the PGA odds board. The model has McIlroy outside the top 10 this week, making him an overvalued golfer to avoid with 2023 Memorial Tournament bets.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 30-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Thomas elevates his play in the elevated events and seemingly never has a bad showing in these tournaments. He’s notched a top-25 finish in six of seven elevated events, but he’s performed even better as Muirfield Village. The two-time PGA champion has three top 10s over his last six starts at the course, counting both the Memorial Tournament and the Workday Charity Open (2020).
Thomas’ game plays well at Muirfield, which places an emphasis on the short game. The course has thick rough with fast greens, making precision around the green a must. Thomas ranks fifth on tour in strokes gained: around-the-green (0.488), with additional top-20 metrics in strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: total. With Thomas’ course history and strengths that play well at this venue, he could make a run up the leaderboard this week. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 Memorial Tournament picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with Memorial Tournament 2023 odds of 35-1 or longer who will make surprising runs, and McClure is targeting a huge triple-digit longshot in his best bets to win. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s Memorial Tournament picks here.
So, who will win the Memorial Tournament 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Memorial Tournament leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
2023 Memorial Tournament odds, field
See the full Memorial Tournament 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler 6-1
Jon Rahm 7-1
Patrick Cantlay 10-1
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Viktor Hovland 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Cameron Young 30-1
Jordan Spieth 30-1
Justin Thomas 30-1
Jason Day 30-1
Rickie Fowler 35-1
Tyrrell Hatton 35-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Corey Conners 40-1
Russell Henley 45-1
Sam Burns 45-1
Shane Lowry 55-1
Sahith Theegala 55-1
Tom Kim 60-1
Adam Scott 65-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Wyndham Clark 65-1
Matt Kuchar 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Keith Mitchell 100-1
Denny McCarthy 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Cam Davis 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Byeong Hun An 125-1
Kurt Kitayama 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Harris English 125-1
K.H. Lee 125-1
Brian Harman 125-1
Adam Hadwin 125-1
Chris Kirk 150-1
Ryan Fox 150-1
Taylor Montgomery 150-1
Hayden Buckley 150-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Lucas Herbert 175-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175-1
Seamus Power 175-1
Beau Hossler 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Stephan Jaeger 175-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Thomas Detry 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Matt NeSmith 200-1
Aaron Rai 200-1
Adam Schenk 225-1
Davis Riley 225-1
Justin Suh 225-1
Mark Hubbard 250-1
Adam Svensson 250-1
Alex Smalley 250-1
Brendon Todd 275-1
Jospeh Bramlett 275-1