The 2025 PGA Tour season has reached its season finale, with the Tour Championship 2025 set to crown the FedEx Cup champion. New this year, the starting strokes format has been removed as everyone in the 2025 Tour Championship field will begin at even par, with this year’s tournament bringing a $40 million purse and $10 million going to the winner. The tournament features the top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings, headlined by Scottie Scheffler. Already the reigning winner of this event, Scheffler also won the BWM Championship last week for his fifth victory of the season.
East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta will host, with Round 1 teeing off on Thursday. Scheffler is at +150 in the latest 2025 Tour Championship odds to become the first back-to-back FedEx Cup champion by winning this tournament. Rory McIlroy, a three-time FedEx Cup champion, is at +850 to utilize in PGA bets, with both Tommy Fleetwood and Ludvig Aberg listed at +1800, followed by Russell Henley. Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay are both past winners of this event, and each is at +2500. Before locking in any 2025 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. They can also target the DraftKings promo code, which offers new users $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:
Now that the 2025 Tour Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 Tour Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Tour Championship: Patrick Cantlay (+2500), who has just five golfers with shorter odds and is a former FedEx Cup champion, stumbles this week and doesn’t crack the top 10. While Cantlay won this tournament in 2021, he was helped by the starting strokes format that was still in place. Despite being that year’s FedEx Cup champion, he didn’t post the lowest score in the Tour Championship and saw three others shoot lower than him. Across his six starts at East Lake, Cantlay has just two top-15 finishes when you remove the starting strokes.
He also hasn’t had the smoothest 2025 PGA Tour season as over his last eight events, he has three missed cuts, another two finishes 30th or worse and has just one top 10. His struggles within the short game have much to do with that as he ranks 88th in strokes gained: around-the-green after being ninth when he was FedEx Cup champion. Cantlay also ranks 90th or worse in total putting and overall putting average as his strengths in the long game are being mitigated by struggles with his wedges and putter. See who else to fade here, and then use FanDuel to get $300 in bonus bets instantly.
Another one of the model’s surprising Tour Championship picks: Collin Morikawa (+3000) makes a strong run at the title. Scheffler won the Tour Championship last year, but it was Morikawa who had the lowest score when starting strokes were removed, with the latter finishing as runner-up for the FedEx Cup crown. That followed him having the fourth-lowest score to par at the 2023 Tour Championship, as Morikawa has three top-6 finishes across his five starts at this event.
Precision off the tee is important this week as erratic driving will penalize golfers, and few are as accurate as the two-time major winner. Morikawa ranks fifth in driving accuracy percentage, which has led to elite rankings in many strokes gained categories. He ranks third in both SG: tee-to-green and SG: approach-the-green, while sitting 12th on tour in SG: total. Add in that one of East Lake’s closest course comps is Detroit Golf Club — where Morikawa has a runner-up and an eighth-place finish at in his last two starts there — and he’s set up to outperform his long Tour Championship odds. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 Tour Championship picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 28-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 Tour Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Tour Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2025 Tour Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 Tour Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
(FanDuel odds subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +150
Rory McIlroy +850
Tommy Fleetwood +1400
Ludvig Åberg +1800
Russell Henley +2000
Justin Thomas +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2500
J.J. Spaun +2700
Sam Burns +3000
Viktor Hovland +3000
Collin Morikawa +3000
Cameron Young +3300
Sepp Straka +3500
Robert MacIntyre +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Ben Griffin +4000
Keegan Bradley +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Corey Conners +4500
Harris English +4500
Harry Hall +5000
Justin Rose +5500
Chris Gotterup +5500
Akshay Bhatia +6000
Shane Lowry +7000
Brian Harman +8000
Sungjae Im +8000
Nick Taylor +10000
Jacob Bridgeman +12500
Andrew Novak +15000