The 2025 PGA Championship has reached the third round at Quail Hollow Club, with some surprising names sitting at the top of the leaderboard. Jhonattan Vegas is the 36-hole leader at 8 under, but he has never finished inside the top 20 at a major championship. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (-5) is three shots off the lead, while Bryson DeChambeau (-3) is five back of the lead. Scheffler is the +220 favorite (risk $100 to win $220) in the 2025 PGA Championship odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Reigning Masters champion Rory McIlroy struggled down the stretch of the second round and barely made the cut. Which golfers should you include in your 2025 PGA Championship bets? Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship weekend picks, be sure to see the 2025 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that two rounds are in the books at the 2025 PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the final two rounds 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard.
Top 2025 PGA Championship predictions
One surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 PGA Championship: Jhonattan Vegas, the leader and one of the top favorites, struggles over the weekend and barely cracks the top five. He’s one of the 2025 PGA Championship weekend favorites to avoid. The 40-year-old has put together back-to-back impressive rounds at a challenging course, earning a two-stroke lead heading into the weekend.
However, he has played in 16 previous major tournaments, missing the cut in 10 of them without posting a single top-20 finish. He is in unfamiliar territory heading into the third round, and he has several stars breathing down his neck. Given his lack of success at majors, the model is fading Vegas despite his current lead. See who else to fade at SportsLine.
Another surprise: McIlroy, a 45-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. McIlroy fought back into contention in the second round before a rough back nine slowed his progress. He wound up barely making the cut this week following his win at the Masters last month.
McIlroy has plenty of firepower to make a run across the final 36 holes, especially since his driving distance gives him an advantage over the field. He is also playing with less pressure after completing the career grand slam, and he knows how to move up a leaderboard. The model has him finishing near the top on Sunday, making him an enticing wager at his longshot price. See who else to back at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting two other golfers with odds of 45-1 or longer who will make surprising runs on Saturday and Sunday, including one monster longshot that returns around 75-1. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA Championship picks here.
So, who will win the PGA Championship 2025, and which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including four straight Masters.
2025 PGA Championship odds, weekend contenders
See full PGA Championship 2025 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +220
Bryson DeChambeau +900
Jhonattan Vegas +1200
Si Woo Kim +1200
Matt Fitzpatrick +1200
Max Homa +2000
Jon Rahm +2500
Robert MacIntyre +3000
Matthieu Pavon +3500
Denny McCarthy +4000
J.T. Poston +4500
Rory McIlroy +4500
Alex Smalley +5000
Viktor Hovland +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Ryan Fox +5000
Tony Finau +5500
Sam Stevens +5500
Michael Thorbjornsen +6000
Aaron Rai +6500
J.J. Spaun +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Ryan Gerard +7000