Rory McIlroy completed his career grand slam at the Masters, and now Scottie Scheffler is within 18 holes of taking a second step toward his. Scheffler, the World’s No. 1 golfer, enters Round 4 of the 2025 PGA Championship with a three-stroke lead as he surged to 11-under for the tournament following a nearly flawless Round 3. Alex Noren (-8) is the only golfer within three strokes, but recent major winners Jon Rahm (-6) and Bryson DeChambeau (-5) are among the golfers within striking distance.
Scheffler, who has two Masters wins in his career, is the clear favorite at -450 (risk $450 to win $100) in the latest 2025 PGA Championship odds entering Sunday. Should you lay the big number on Scheffler, or back Noren (+1800), Rahm (+2200) or somebody else to shock the PGA on Sunday? Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship Sunday picks, be sure to see the 2025 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that three rounds are in the books at the 2025 PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the final round 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard.
Top 2025 PGA Championship predictions
One surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 PGA Championship: Noren, who enters Sunday as the second favorite, struggles and falls out of the top three. He’s one of the 2025 PGA Championship Sunday favorites to avoid. A veteran of the PGA and European Tours, the Swedish golfer has 13 professional wins, but still none on the PGA Tour. His last win of any kind came in 2018, and he’s never finished higher than T6 at a PGA major.
His track record at the PGA Championship isn’t inspiring either as he’s missed the cut four times and has just one top-20 finish at this event. He’s clearly outplayed expectations this week in just his second event of the season after sustaining an injury in Hawaii before The Sentry in January. He faded at the Truist Championship over the weekend last week, and the model is projecting that he slips from his second-place spot on Sunday at Quail Hollow. See who else to fade at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting a longshot who is more than five shots off the lead but is set to surge into contention on Sunday. Anyone who backs this golfer could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA Championship picks here.
So, who will win the PGA Championship 2025, and which longshot will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including four straight Masters.
2025 PGA Championship odds, Sunday contenders
See full PGA Championship 2025 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler -450
Alex Noren +1800
Jon Rahm +2200
J.T. Poston +3000
Bryson DeChambeau +3300
Davis Riley +4000
Jhonattan Vegas +5000
Si Woo Kim +5500
Tony Finau +11000
Keegan Bradley +12000
Matt Fitzpatrick +11000
Matthieu Pavon +27000
Adam Scott +30000
Garrick Higgo +50000
Matt Wallace +50000
Joe Highsmith +60000