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Home»Golf News»2025 Open Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 15 majors
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2025 Open Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 15 majors

July 2, 2025Updated:July 2, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read
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The Open Championship has been held at 14 different courses throughout the UK over its 153-year history. All of the courses are located in either England or Scotland, except for one, and that lone Northern Ireland course will host the 2025 Open Championship. Royal Portrush’s Dunluce Links will host the British Open for the third time ever, with this year’s event beginning on Thursday, July 17. Shane Lowry prevailed when the event was last at Royal Portrush in 2019, but the Republic of Ireland native is among the 2025 Open Championship longshots at +2100. 

The betting favorite is Scottie Scheffler, who has three victories over his last six starts but is seeking his first win at The Open. Scheffler is the +380 favorite, according to the latest 2025 Open Championship odds at FanDuel, followed by Northern Irishman Rory McIlroy (+700). Jon Rahm comes in at +1200 on the PGA odds board, while reigning British Open champion Xander Schauffele is one of five golfers at +2000. Before locking in your 2025 Open Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — and the 2025 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, DraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. 

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Now that the 2025 Open Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. 

2025 Open Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Open Championship: Rory McIlroy, a five-time major champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. McIlroy won The Open in 2014 but missed the cut in his last Open Championship start a year ago. He also missed the cut in his only other visit to Royal Portrush, which came at the 2019 British Open.

Since completing the career Grand Slam at the Masters earlier this year, McIlroy’s form hasn’t kept pace in his ensuing major starts or on the PGA Tour as a whole. He finished 47th at the PGA Championship and 19th at the U.S. Open, marking just the second time over the last dozen years he had finishes outside the top 15 in consecutive major starts. He’s not a strong pick to win it all, and there are far better values in the 2025 Open Championship field. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 45-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas was the 29th-ranked golfer in the world at this tournament last year, but is now No. 4 in the Official World Golf Ranking. He secured his 16th victory at the RBC Heritage, a signature event, and has recorded a total of seven top-10 finishes, including three runner-up showings. 

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While the British Open has been the toughest major for Thomas, he performed admirably in his prior trip to Royal Portrush, finishing 11th at the 2019 Open Championship. He enters the 2025 Open Championship leading the PGA Tour in both putting average and birdie average, with the latter being important because birdies are usually hard to come by at this major championship. His overall form, plus his long odds, make Thomas a valuable longshot to include in your 2025 Open Championship bets. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2025 Open Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here. 

Who will win the 2025 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters.

2025 Open Championship odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Open Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here. 

(odds subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +380
Rory McIlroy +700
Jon Rahm +1200
Robert MacIntyre +2000
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Tyrrell Hatton +2000
Shane Lowry +2100
Ludvig Aberg +2600
Viktor Hovland +2600
Collin Morikawa +2600
Brooks Koepka +4100
Joaquin Niemann +4200
Justin Thomas +4500
Justin Rose +4700
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Jordan Spieth +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Adam Scott +5500
Sepp Straka +5500
Ryan Fox +5500
Patrick Cantlay +5500
Hideki Matsuyama +6000
Jason Day +6000
Corey Conners +6500
Aaron Rai +6500
Ben Griffin +6500
Patrick Reed +6500
Sam Burns +7000
Thomas Detry +7500
Alex Noren +8000
Wyndham Clark +8000
Louis Oosthuizen +8000
J.J. Spaun +8000
Min Woo Lee +8500
Keegan Bradley +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Thriston Lawrence +9500
Sahith Theegala +10000
Victor Perez +10000
Davis Thompson +10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Cameron Smith +10000

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