Fresh off his PGA Championship victory, Scottie Scheffler will headline the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge field. Oddsmakers are high on Scheffler in his return home to Texas, listing him as the +250 favorite, according to the latest 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge odds. There is a large drop-off before the next group of Charles Schwab Challenge contenders that features Jordan Spieth (22-1), Hideki Matsuyama (25-1), Daniel Berger (25-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (25-1).
Scheffler secured a T-2 finish at this event last year, finishing five shots behind winner Davis Riley. Riley is coming off a T-2 finish at the PGA Championship, but should he be included in your Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 picks? Play is set to get underway from Colonial Country Club on Thursday, May 22. Before locking in your 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – and the 2025 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge: Jordan Speith, a 13-time PGA Tour champion and three-time major winner, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Spieth is one of the most decorated players on the PGA Tour, but his last victory on tour came at the RBC Heritage in 2022.
The 31-year-old has three top-10 finishes in 2025, but he’s coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship, which followed a T-34 showing at the Truist Championship. Spieth’s inconsistent results can be directly attributed to his iron play. He ranks 71st in strokes gained: approach to green (0.160) and 82nd in greens in regulation percentage (66.29%). He also ranks outside the top 50 in driving accuracy (59.80%), birdie average (3.93), strokes gained: putting (0.193) and putts per round (28.55). He’s not a strong pick to win it all, and there are far better values in the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge field. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Aaron Rai, a 45-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Rai doesn’t explode off the tee quite as much as some of the other top contenders, but he ranks among the best iron players on the PGA Tour. In fact, Rai currently ranks 16th in greens in regulation percentage (69.57%) and 20th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.513). He’s also extremely accurate with a driver in his hands, ranking first in driving accuracy (73.13%). If he’s striking the ball well this week, he’ll have a great shot at finishing on top of the leaderboard at Colonial Country Club. See who else to pick here.
Bettors looking to take advantage of a Caesars Sportsbook promo code can get Rai to finish inside the top 10 at +325 odds.
How to make 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 45-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots using a FanDuel promo code could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters and the first two majors in 2025.
2025 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, favorites
Get full 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +250
Jordan Spieth +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Daniel Berger +2500
Maverick McNealy +3000
Robert MacIntyre +4000
J.T. Poston +4000
Harris English +4000
Si Woo Kim +4500
Aaron Rai +4500
Keith Mitchell +4500
J.J. Spaun +4500
Davis Thompson +4500
Davis Riley +5000
Brian Harman +5500
Michael Kim +5500
Ben Griffin +6000
Andrew Novak +6000
Ryan Gerard +6500
Mackenzie Hughes +6500
Lucas Glover +6500
Bud Cauley +7000
Akshay Bhatia +7000
Harry Hall +7000
Thorbjorn Olesen +7000
Kurt Kitayama +7500
Samuel Stevens +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Lee Hodges +8000
Kevin Yu +8000
Tom Kim +8000
Taylor Moore +8000
Pierceson Coody +9000
Alejandro Tosti +9000
Max Greyserman +9000
Jake Knapp +9000
Jacob Bridgeman +9000
Gary Woodland +9000
Eric Cole +9000
Emiliano Grillo +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Charley Hoffman +11000
Ryo Hisatsune +11000
Rico Hoey +11000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Neal Shipley +11000
Matt Wallace +11000
Matt McCarty +11000
Cam Davis +11000
Doug Ghim +11000
Chris Gotterup +12000
Seamus Power +12000