The second leg of the 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs begins on Thursday, when Caves Valley Golf Club hosts the 2025 BMW Championship. The top 50 players in the FedEx Cup standings advanced after the first round last week, which was won by Justin Rose over J.J. Spaun in a playoff. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler finished tied for third with Tommy Fleetwood, who held the lead heading into the final round. Scheffler is the +220 favorite (risk $100 to win $220) in the 2025 BMW Championship odds, while Rory McIlroy is +800 as he makes his return after sitting out last week. Sepp Straka, who is No. 5 in the FedEx Cup Playoff rankings, withdrew on Monday for personal reasons. He was at 40-1 in the opening PGA odds.
This event was last held at Caves Valley in 2021, when Patrick Cantlay won in a playoff. Cantlay (25-1) is a two-time BMW Championship winner, so should you back him with your 2025 BMW Championship bets? Before locking in any 2025 BMW Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. They can also target the DraftKings promo code, which offers new users $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:
Now that the 2025 BMW Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 BMW Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 BMW Championship: Tommy Fleetwood, who is listed fourth in the odds, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Fleetwood let another 54-hole lead slip away in the first round of the playoffs, as his two-shot lead on the back nine dissipated down the stretch. He has 29 top-five finishes on the PGA Tour, but he has yet to win an event.
The 34-year-old has five top-10 finishes this season, including the sixth runner-up of his career at the Travelers Championship. He also has a pair of runner-up finishes at major championships, and he has won seven times on the DP World Tour. However, he is dealing with a severe mental hurdle at this point, so the model is fading him this week. See who else to fade here, and then use FanDuel to get $300 in bonus bets instantly.
Another one of the model’s surprising BMW Championship picks: J.J. Spaun makes a strong run, despite being a +3000 longshot. Spaun went three playoff holes with Rose on Sunday before Rose finally sealed his victory. It was another impressive showing for Spaun though, as he continues to make unexpected noise this season.
Spaun has six top-10 finishes and won the first major championship of his career at the U.S. Open. He also finished second in The Players Championship and T2 at the Cognizant Classic. Spaun ranks seventh on the PGA TOUR in total strokes gained and sixth in strokes gained approaching the green, making him a longshot to target at Caves Valley. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 BMW Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 BMW Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 BMW Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2025 BMW Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 BMW Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
(FanDuel odds subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +220
Rory McIlroy +800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Ludvig Åberg +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Cameron Young +3000
J.J. Spaun +3000
Maverick McNealy +3300
Collin Morikawa +3500
Russell Henley +3500
Sam Burns +3500
Viktor Hovland +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Chris Gotterup +3500
Ben Griffin +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Keegan Bradley +4500
Hideki Matsuyama +4500
Justin Rose +4500
Corey Conners +4500
Harris English +5000
Akshay Bhatia +5500
Robert MacIntyre +5500
Si Woo Kim +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Harry Hall +6000
Shane Lowry +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Sungjae Im +7000
Andrew Novak +8000
Jason Day +8000
Brian Harman +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Daniel Berger +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Nick Taylor +10000
Lucas Glover +12500
Bud Cauley +12500
Ryan Gerard +12500
Michael Kim +12500
Jacob Bridgeman +12500
Jhonattan Vegas +12500
Ryan Fox +12500
Thomas Detry +15000
Tom Hoge +50000
Brian Campbell +75000